Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
