SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 78.04%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Fulham |
78.04% ( -1.66) | 13.54% ( 0.87) | 8.41% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.05% ( -1.6) | 29.94% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.87% ( -1.96) | 51.12% ( 1.96) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.85% ( -0.62) | 6.14% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.71% ( -1.76) | 23.28% ( 1.76) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.35% ( 0.58) | 43.64% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.17% ( 0.48) | 79.82% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.41)4-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.37)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.25)6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.18)5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.28% Total : 78.04% | 1-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.54% | 1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.41% |
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