SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Airdrieonians |
46.67% ( -0.01) | 25.81% | 27.52% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( 0.01) | 52.2% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( 0.01) | 73.91% ( -0) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( 0) | 22.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.16% | 55.84% ( 0.01) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( 0.01) | 33.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( 0.01) | 70.36% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.66% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0)2-2 @ 5% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.52% |
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