SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Servette had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
41.52% ( -0.02) | 24.79% ( 0) | 33.69% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( -0) | 45.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( -0) | 67.52% ( 0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0.01) | 21.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% ( -0.01) | 54.95% ( 0.02) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( 0.01) | 25.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( 0.01) | 60.92% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.69% |
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