SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 47%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Fulham |
30.55% ( 1.15) | 22.46% ( 0.46) | 47% ( -1.62) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( -1.58) | 35.29% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( -1.77) | 57.31% ( 1.77) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.09) | 23.01% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( -0.14) | 56.82% ( 0.14) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -1.15) | 15.51% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.58% ( -2.18) | 44.42% ( 2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.13)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.08% Total : 47% |
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