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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
HL

Luton
1 - 0
Hull City

McGuinness (33')
Burke (22'), Nakamba (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coyle (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 West Brom
Sunday, November 10 at 1pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Hull City

Saturday's meeting is crucial for both teams in their bid to put a tough start to the season behind them. Luton Town are yet to show their quality on their return to the Championship but should have enough to get over the line at Kenilworth Road against a Hull City side also struggling for confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawHull City
36.51% (-1.275 -1.28) 25.53% (0.293 0.29) 37.95% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-1.34 -1.34)48.11% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-1.241 -1.24)70.27% (1.241 1.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-1.317 -1.32)25.66% (1.319 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-1.827 -1.83)60.57% (1.828 1.83)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)24.87% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.108 -0.11)59.48% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 36.51%
    Hull City 37.95%
    Draw 25.53%
Luton TownDrawHull City
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Luton
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 West Brom
Sunday, November 10 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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