SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
43.07% ( 3.13) | 25.09% ( -0.04) | 31.85% ( -3.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.61) | 47.05% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -0.57) | 69.29% ( 0.58) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 1.25) | 21.83% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( 1.87) | 55.06% ( -1.86) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -2.18) | 27.97% ( 2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( -2.87) | 63.61% ( 2.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.67)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.47)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.37)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.85% |
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