SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
55.16% ( 0.52) | 21.8% ( -0.15) | 23.03% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( 0.29) | 38.55% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.31) | 60.85% ( -0.31) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.05% ( 0.27) | 13.95% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.57% ( 0.52) | 41.43% ( -0.52) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.15) | 30.01% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% ( -0.18) | 66.13% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.04% |
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