SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
30.4% ( -0.25) | 24.66% ( -0.16) | 44.94% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.62) | 45.79% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( 0.58) | 68.1% ( -0.58) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 0.14) | 28.3% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( 0.17) | 64.02% ( -0.17) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.44) | 20.46% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( 0.69) | 52.92% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 44.94% |
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