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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
54.6% ( -1.03) | 21.28% ( 0.4) | 24.12% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( -1.27) | 34.82% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% ( -1.43) | 56.79% ( 1.43) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -0.72) | 12.87% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.74% ( -1.49) | 39.26% ( 1.49) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.22) | 27.08% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0.28) | 62.46% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.82% Total : 24.12% |
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