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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
35.47% ( -2.39) | 22.81% ( -0.57) | 41.71% ( 2.96) |
| Both teams to score 65.75% ( 1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% ( 2.62) | 35.19% ( -2.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% ( 2.85) | 57.2% ( -2.86) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( 0.01) | 20.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( 0.02) | 52.67% ( -0.02) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 2.39) | 17.49% ( -2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.01% ( 4.02) | 47.99% ( -4.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.78)2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.49)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.48)2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.36)2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.71% |
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