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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.6%) and 0-1 (5.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.76% ( -0.22) | 21.76% ( 0.09) | 45.48% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 68.93% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.31% ( -0.54) | 30.69% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.98% ( -0.65) | 52.02% ( 0.65) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -0.37) | 19.57% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.51% ( -0.6) | 51.49% ( 0.61) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( -0.16) | 14.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.9% ( -0.32) | 42.09% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.76% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.48% |
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