Given the poor away record of Borussia Monchengladbach, it is difficult to see how the visitors can secure a positive result on Friday. However, Mainz have been inconsistent at home, and if they win it is likely to be a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
42.49% ( 0.03)	22.98% ( -0)	34.53% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 64.87% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.75% (

-0)

36.25% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.63% (

-0)

58.37% (

-0)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

0.01)

17.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.81% (

0.02)

48.19% (

-0.03)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73% (

-0.02)

21.27% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.81% (

-0.03)

54.19% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 42.49%

Borussia Monchengladbach 34.53%

Draw 22.97%

Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.49%	1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 34.53%