SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
31.82% ( -0.57) | 23.26% ( -0.2) | 44.92% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.42% ( 0.69) | 38.57% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.13% ( 0.73) | 60.87% ( -0.73) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( -0) | 23.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% ( 0) | 58.05% ( -0.01) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( 0.58) | 17.56% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( 1.01) | 48.11% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.96% Total : 44.92% |
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