SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
61.03% ( -0.19) | 20.72% ( 0.07) | 18.25% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.12) | 40.28% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( -0.13) | 62.65% ( 0.12) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( -0.09) | 12.75% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.98% ( -0.19) | 39.02% ( 0.19) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( 0.06) | 35.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( 0.06) | 72.36% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.03% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.25% |
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