SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Malmo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
63.15% ( -3.04) | 19.47% ( 1.18) | 17.37% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.15% ( -2.08) | 35.85% ( 2.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% ( -2.33) | 57.93% ( 2.33) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.16% ( -1.33) | 10.84% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.08% ( -3.05) | 34.92% ( 3.04) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0.86) | 33.87% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( 0.92) | 70.54% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.49)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.31)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.33)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.83% Total : 63.16% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.47% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.83% Total : 17.37% |
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