Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 59.59%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 22.02% and a draw had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
59.59% (![]() | 18.39% (![]() | 22.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.98% (![]() | 23.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.72% (![]() | 42.27% (![]() |
Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.06% (![]() | 7.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.95% (![]() | 28.04% (![]() |
Derby County Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% (![]() | 21.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% (![]() | 55.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
2-1 @ 8.46% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 4.67% Total : 59.59% | 1-1 @ 6.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.39% | 1-2 @ 5.08% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.05% 0-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 22.02% |
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