SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Barnsley |
50.4% ( -4.32) | 21.07% ( 0.75) | 28.53% ( 3.57) |
| Both teams to score 68.9% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.52) | 29.68% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.19% ( -0.63) | 50.81% ( 0.64) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( -1.38) | 12.36% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.8% ( -2.97) | 38.2% ( 2.98) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 1.98) | 21.38% ( -1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( 2.97) | 54.36% ( -2.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.48)1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.59)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.46)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.44)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.28)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.59) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.43)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.25)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.53% |
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