SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Everton |
58.35% ( 0.01) | 21.19% | 20.46% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.94% ( -0) | 39.05% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( -0) | 61.38% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( 0.01) | 13.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.17% ( 0.01) | 39.83% ( -0) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( -0.01) | 32.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% ( -0.01) | 69.15% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.39% 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.61% Total : 58.35% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.46% |
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