Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 11.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Everton |
71.65% ( -0) | 16.87% ( 0) | 11.47% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.08% ( 0.01) | 36.92% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.9% ( 0.01) | 59.1% ( -0) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.93% ( 0) | 9.07% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.15% ( 0) | 30.85% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.34% ( 0.01) | 42.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21% ( 0.01) | 79% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Everton |
2-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.6% 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.94% 6-0 @ 1.03% 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 71.65% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.87% | 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.15% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.3% Total : 11.47% |
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