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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
EL

Man Utd
3 - 1
Everton

Antony (4'), Coady (52' og.), Rashford (90+7' pen.)
Fernandes (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coady (14')
Godfrey (61'), Doucoure (67'), Onana (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Brighton
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawEverton
71.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 16.87% (0.0019999999999989 0) 11.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.85%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 71.65%
    Everton 11.47%
    Draw 16.87%
Manchester UnitedDrawEverton
2-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 8.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.6%
4-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.57%
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.94%
6-0 @ 1.03%
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 71.65%
1-1 @ 7.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.87%
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 11.47%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, December 31 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cadiz 4-2 Man Utd
Wednesday, December 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Brighton
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Everton
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Wolves
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 4-1 Everton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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