SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.58%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 5.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
85.58% ( -0.21) | 9.31% ( 0.13) | 5.11% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.97% ( -0.36) | 21.03% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.45% ( -0.51) | 39.54% ( 0.5) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.67% ( -0.09) | 3.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 85.35% ( -0.29) | 14.65% ( 0.29) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.08) | 45.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19% ( -0.07) | 80.99% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
| 3-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)7-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)6-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.6% Total : 85.58% | 1-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 9.31% | 1-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 5.11% |
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