Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Liverpool |
26.44% ( -0.04) | 21.04% ( 0.01) | 52.52% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 67.06% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.69% ( -0.06) | 31.31% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.25% ( -0.07) | 52.75% ( 0.07) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( -0.06) | 23.53% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.42% ( -0.09) | 57.58% ( 0.09) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.7% ( -0.01) | 12.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.93% ( -0.02) | 38.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Liverpool |
2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.37% 2-4 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.41% 3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 52.52% |
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