SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
44.14% ( -0.18) | 21.9% ( -0.07) | 33.95% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 68.86% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.02% ( 0.45) | 30.97% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.64% ( 0.54) | 52.35% ( -0.54) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( 0.11) | 14.87% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.79% ( 0.22) | 43.21% ( -0.22) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( 0.33) | 19.11% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.26% ( 0.55) | 50.73% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 33.95% |
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