Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
44.14% (![]() | 21.9% (![]() | 33.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.02% (![]() | 30.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.64% (![]() | 52.35% (![]() |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.12% (![]() | 14.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.79% (![]() | 43.21% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% (![]() | 19.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.26% (![]() | 50.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 8.54% (![]() 3-1 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 33.95% |
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