SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.77%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Liverpool |
24.44% ( 0.13) | 20.22% ( 0.15) | 55.34% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 68.01% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.58) | 29.19% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.79% ( -0.71) | 50.21% ( 0.7) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( -0.23) | 23.73% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% ( -0.33) | 57.86% ( 0.33) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( -0.26) | 10.82% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.11% ( -0.57) | 34.88% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 24.44% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.34% |
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