Man United may have won five consecutive home games, but we think that they will fall short against a Chelsea side that has won nine straight away matches and is targeting a fourth consecutive FA Cup final appearance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
45%	25.27%	29.72%

Both teams to score 54.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22%

48.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12%

70.88%

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18%

54.81%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72%

30.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55%

66.45%

Score Analysis

Manchester United Women 45%

Chelsea Women 29.72%

Draw 25.27%

Manchester United Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.72%