Man United may have won five consecutive home games, but we think that they will fall short against a Chelsea side that has won nine straight away matches and is targeting a fourth consecutive FA Cup final appearance.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
