SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Sudan |
46.6% ( 0.12) | 27.58% ( 0.01) | 25.82% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.2% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.31% ( -0.1) | 59.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20% ( -0.08) | 80% ( 0.07) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.01) | 25.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 0.02) | 60.56% ( -0.02) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.16) | 39.2% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.09% ( -0.16) | 75.91% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.72% 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 25.82% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
