SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
38.83% ( 0.03) | 25.37% ( 0.02) | 35.81% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.12) | 47.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( -0.11) | 69.62% ( 0.11) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( -0.04) | 24.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( -0.06) | 58.37% ( 0.06) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.09) | 25.74% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.12) | 60.67% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.81% |
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