SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
40.55% ( 0.76) | 25.16% ( -0.4) | 34.29% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.83% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( 1.72) | 46.7% ( -1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( 1.6) | 68.97% ( -1.59) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 1.15) | 22.9% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( 1.67) | 56.65% ( -1.66) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.61) | 26.29% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( 0.8) | 61.41% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.29% |
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