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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
70.49% ( -1.99) | 16.9% ( 0.82) | 12.6% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.09% ( -0.82) | 33.9% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.24% ( -0.93) | 55.75% ( 0.93) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( -0.63) | 8.57% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.37% ( -1.57) | 29.62% ( 1.57) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% ( 1.32) | 38.8% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% ( 1.22) | 75.54% ( -1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.41)1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.29)5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.15)6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.09% Total : 70.49% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.6% |
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