SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
40.19% ( 0.2) | 23.62% ( 0.02) | 36.19% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.81% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( -0.15) | 39.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( -0.16) | 61.41% ( 0.16) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( 0.03) | 19.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( 0.05) | 51.83% ( -0.04) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( -0.18) | 21.71% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.13% ( -0.28) | 54.87% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
