SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 65.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
65.98% ( 0.16) | 18.07% ( -0.22) | 15.95% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.24% ( 1.24) | 31.76% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.71% ( 1.44) | 53.28% ( -1.44) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( 0.37) | 9.01% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.3% ( 0.89) | 30.7% ( -0.89) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( 0.86) | 32.93% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( 0.95) | 69.51% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.19% Total : 65.98% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.07% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 15.95% |
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