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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
44.96% ( -0.74) | 23.01% ( 0.21) | 32.03% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 63.81% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.77) | 37.25% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.83) | 59.46% ( 0.83) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( -0.58) | 17.02% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.84% ( -1.04) | 47.16% ( 1.04) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.06) | 23.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -0.1) | 56.95% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.23% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.03% |
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