SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
35.29% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( -0) | 40.04% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( 0.02) | 44.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( 0.02) | 66.64% ( -0.02) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0) | 24.56% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( 0) | 59.05% ( -0) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( 0.01) | 22.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% ( 0.02) | 55.43% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.04% |
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