SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
52.56% ( -0.05) | 21.39% ( 0.02) | 26.05% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.59% ( -0.04) | 33.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.8% ( -0.05) | 55.19% ( 0.05) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( -0.03) | 13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.46% ( -0.06) | 39.53% ( 0.06) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0) | 24.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( 0) | 59.54% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 6.74% 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.05% |
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