Both sides may be devoid of any confidence given their recent Ligue 1 form and have a chance to bounce back in the cup on Friday. With home advantage, and international call-ups hitting the visitors harder, we back Metz to scrape over the line and book their place in the final 32. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Clermont
40.35%	27.2%	32.45%

Both teams to score 49.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37%

55.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21%

76.79%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97%

27.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61%

62.39%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.13%

31.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.69%

68.32%

Score Analysis

Metz 40.35%

Clermont 32.45%

Draw 27.19%

Metz	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.35%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.45%