SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Jamaica |
44.74% ( 0.35) | 25.76% | 29.5% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% ( -0.17) | 50.94% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( -0.15) | 72.81% ( 0.15) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( 0.09) | 22.71% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( 0.14) | 56.37% ( -0.14) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.34) | 31.54% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( -0.4) | 67.94% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.5% |
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