Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
55.79% ( -0.26) | 23.41% ( 0.06) | 20.81% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( 0.01) | 48.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( 0.02) | 70.54% ( -0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( -0.09) | 17.18% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.56% ( -0.16) | 47.44% ( 0.16) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% ( 0.22) | 37.61% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% ( 0.21) | 74.39% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.78% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.81% |
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