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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
CC

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Cardiff

Latte Lath (12')
Doak (75'), Barlaser (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chambers (21')
O'Dowda (30'), Rinomhota (76'), Robertson (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Middlesbrough are in the midst of an injury crisis, they have been difficult to beat in recent weeks, and it is hard to see them losing against Cardiff. Additionally, the visitors' record on the road is poor, and it would not be surprising if their defensive frailty was once again exposed on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
55.79% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.41% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 20.81% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)17.18% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.156 -0.16)47.44% (0.155 0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (0.218 0.22)37.61% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.211 0.21)74.39% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.78%
    Cardiff City 20.81%
    Draw 23.41%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-3 Sheff Weds
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Cardiff
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Cardiff
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship


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