Who prevails from this fixture is anyone's guess given the poor form of both teams. For us, though, Southampton's increasing vulnerability opens the door for Boro to finally get a win on the board when they will feel as though they are underdogs heading into this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
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