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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
CC

Millwall
0 - 3
Coventry


Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 Coventry City

While Robins would have been grateful for the international break, so would have Edwards after his arrival shortly before the Sheffield Wednesday game. Millwall have the potential to really kick on going forward, and we are backing a home win in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
31.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 26.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 42.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)24.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.77%
    Coventry City 42.19%
    Draw 26.02%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-2 Coventry
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-2 West Brom
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Coventry
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship


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