SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
39.55% ( -0) | 23.37% ( 0.01) | 37.08% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.86% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( -0.06) | 37.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( -0.06) | 60% ( 0.07) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( -0.02) | 19.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( -0.04) | 51.38% ( 0.05) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.03) | 20.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( -0.05) | 53.25% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 37.08% |
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