Even though they are undefeated in the Leagues Cup this year, the Orange and Blue have yet to perform well for 90 minutes, and we believe the experience of the Union and their recent strong form will propel them into the quarter-finals by a thin margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
62.13%	20.05%	17.81%

Both teams to score 57.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.13%

37.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.88%

60.12%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29%

11.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.19%

36.81%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.38%

34.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66%

71.34%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 62.13%

Philadelphia Union 17.81%

Draw 20.05%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 7.07% 3-0 @ 6.67% 4-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.2% Total : 62.13%	1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.05%	1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 4.3% 0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.76% Total : 17.81%