SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Montrose in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
52.73% ( 0.01) | 22.7% | 24.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.02) | 41.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.02) | 63.5% ( 0.01) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -0) | 15.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( -0) | 44.65% ( -0) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.02) | 30.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( -0.02) | 66.29% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.57% |
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