Lecce's undefeated streak could reach its end on Sunday, if Monza's able front line click into gear and make the most of their opportunities. Putting a halt to their drought in this match-up, the Biancorossi should just have the edge over their in-form visitors on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
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