As Lazio are a well-drilled side and seem to be on the up under Maurizio Sarri, they can rightly aim to sustain last season's progress. Starting with a tough trip down south on matchday one, the Biancocelesti should safely overcome Lecce, as the home side have surely been weakened by their dealings during the summer.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
-0.57) 
0.13) 
