SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.84%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Gabon |
66.57% ( -0.88) | 21.86% ( 0.47) | 11.57% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 37.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% ( -0.77) | 57.35% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( -0.61) | 78.17% ( 0.61) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( -0.56) | 16.6% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.59% ( -1.02) | 46.41% ( 1.02) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.55% ( 0.28) | 55.45% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.85% ( 0.17) | 88.15% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 16.52% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 14.84% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.01% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.86% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.67% Total : 11.57% |
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