SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Zambia |
55.87% ( -0.16) | 25.97% ( 0.09) | 18.16% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.16% ( -0.2) | 60.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% ( -0.15) | 80.87% ( 0.15) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.15) | 21.96% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( -0.23) | 55.25% ( 0.23) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.03) | 47.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.9% ( -0.02) | 83.1% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 15.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.16% |
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