Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.54%).
