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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 at 11.15am UK
De Geusselt

MVV
0 - 3
Roda JC


Zeegers (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van der Heide (11', 66'), Sejk (57')
Beerten (8'), Pena Zauner (73')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Roda JC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 3-0 MVV
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 2-2 ADO Den Haag
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawRoda JC
30.76% (-0.382 -0.38) 22.65% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 46.59% (0.309 0.31)
Both teams to score 64.46% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (-0.578 -0.58)36.11% (0.58 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (-0.638 -0.64)58.22% (0.641 0.64)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.505 -0.5)23.29% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-0.742 -0.74)57.23% (0.747 0.75)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)15.97% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.197 -0.2)45.27% (0.201 0.2)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 30.76%
    Roda JC 46.59%
    Draw 22.65%
MVV MaastrichtDrawRoda JC
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.42% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Groningen 3-0 MVV
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-2 MVV
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 3-3 Jong PSV
Monday, February 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 3-0 MVV
Monday, February 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 6-1 Telstar
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 0-3 MVV
Friday, January 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 2-2 ADO Den Haag
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 1-1 Roda JC
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-3 Roda JC
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 3-2 Emmen
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 4-1 Dordrecht
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 1-0 Roda JC
Monday, February 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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