NAC are the clear underdogs in this match, as they are likely to be in most matches during the early season, but they have looked more than handy so far and their win over Ajax will certainly have given them a massive boost of confidence. We feel the hosts will be able to take a share of the spoils in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.