SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
55.98% ( -0.56) | 25.5% ( -0.01) | 18.52% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 42.39% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.07% ( 0.67) | 58.92% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% ( 0.51) | 79.41% ( -0.52) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( 0.04) | 21.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% ( 0.07) | 53.97% ( -0.07) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.75% ( 1.08) | 46.25% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.09% ( 0.82) | 81.91% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 15.19% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.01% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.5% Total : 18.52% |
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